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HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  59
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132018
0300 UTC THU OCT 11 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  41.1W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  20SE  25SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 130SE 130SW 210NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 360SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  41.1W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  41.6W

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 28.4N  39.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  20SE  25SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 140SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.9N  35.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  25SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 31.3N  30.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 160SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 32.3N  25.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 160SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 32.0N  20.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 150SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 29.5N  20.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 27.5N  25.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N  41.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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