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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  62
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062018
2100 UTC FRI SEP 14 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF MYRTLE
BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH OF SALVO NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING
ALBEMARLE SOUND.

THE STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS
NORTH CAROLINA.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED NORTH OF CAPE
HATTERAS...INCLUDING ALBEMARLE SOUND.

THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SALVO NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO SOUND...INCLUDING THE NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO SOUND

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FLORENCE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N  78.6W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE  70SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE  90SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 240SE 120SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N  78.6W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N  78.4W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 33.9N  79.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  70SE  60SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 33.9N  80.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  60SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 34.4N  81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 35.5N  82.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 38.5N  82.6W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 41.5N  76.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 44.0N  64.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.0N  78.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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