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HURRICANE FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017
0900 UTC SAT JUL 15 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 121.8W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 121.8W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 121.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 11.1N 123.6W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 11.8N 125.9W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 12.5N 128.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 13.5N 131.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.0N 135.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 16.5N 138.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 17.0N 140.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 121.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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