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HURRICANE MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0300 UTC THU SEP 21 2017
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 1(15) X(15)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 14(21) 17(38) 2(40) X(40)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MAYAGUANA 34 2 6( 8) 30(38) 20(58) 4(62) 1(63) X(63)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18)
MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GRAND TURK 34 4 77(81) 16(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
GRAND TURK 50 1 32(33) 40(73) 3(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)
GRAND TURK 64 X 9( 9) 36(45) 3(48) X(48) 1(49) X(49)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
LES CAYES 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 3 3( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12)
CAPE BEATA 34 3 3( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PUERTO PLATA 34 45 42(87) 1(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
PUERTO PLATA 50 2 17(19) 1(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
PUERTO PLATA 64 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 68 2(70) 1(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
SANTO DOMINGO 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PONCE PR 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
AGUADILLA PR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAN JUAN PR 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
VIEQUES PR 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAINT THOMAS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
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Page last modified: Sunday, 31-Dec-2017 12:09:48 UTC