ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
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HURRICANE MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
1500 UTC WED SEP 20 2017
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12)
CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11)
SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 12(16) 5(21) X(21)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 35(43) 7(50) X(50)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 3(19) 1(20)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9)
MAYAGUANA 34 X 3( 3) 11(14) 34(48) 16(64) 2(66) X(66)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 14(28) X(28) 1(29)
MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) X(13)
GRAND TURK 34 2 18(20) 61(81) 13(94) 1(95) 1(96) X(96)
GRAND TURK 50 X 3( 3) 42(45) 27(72) 3(75) X(75) X(75)
GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) 19(19) 30(49) 5(54) X(54) X(54)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
LES CAYES 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
CAPE BEATA 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
PUERTO PLATA 34 3 48(51) 23(74) 3(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X 10(10) 17(27) 3(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31)
PUERTO PLATA 64 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 8 33(41) 5(46) 2(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
SANTO DOMINGO 50 2 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SANTO DOMINGO 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
PONCE PR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PONCE PR 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PONCE PR 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
AGUADILLA PR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
AGUADILLA PR 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
AGUADILLA PR 64 84 X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
SAN JUAN PR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAN JUAN PR 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAN JUAN PR 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
VIEQUES PR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
VIEQUES PR 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
VIEQUES PR 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAINT THOMAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAINT CROIX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
NNNN
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Page last modified: Sunday, 31-Dec-2017 12:09:48 UTC