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TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
0900 UTC WED SEP 27 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
* ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT TO WEST OF OCRACOKE INLET
* NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS TO DUCK

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN
THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE
SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING
GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION.  PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL
NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  PROMPTLY FOLLOW
EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT
RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE
WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N  72.9W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW 110NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 180SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N  72.9W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.9N  73.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 35.7N  72.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  90NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 170SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 36.2N  71.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 160SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 36.5N  69.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  70SW   0NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 37.0N  65.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  70SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 190SE 190SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 40.5N  52.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 110SE  70SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 240SE 210SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 47.5N  32.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.1N  72.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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