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HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
0900 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  72.0W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  35 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......170NE 170SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 240SE 150SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  72.0W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  71.9W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 26.0N  72.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.7N  72.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 29.2N  72.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 30.3N  73.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 32.0N  73.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 150SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 34.0N  73.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 36.0N  71.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N  72.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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