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HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
0300 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUERTO PLATA
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF PUERTO PLATA TO THE NORTHERN BORDER OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  70.2W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  35 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  70.2W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  70.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.0N  70.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.1N  72.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.7N  72.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.3N  72.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 31.2N  71.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 33.0N  70.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N  70.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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