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TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142017
2100 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  49.8W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  49.8W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  49.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 32.3N  49.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 32.2N  48.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 31.8N  48.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.1N  48.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 30.5N  49.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 31.0N  50.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 32.4N  51.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.1N  49.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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