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HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
0900 UTC SUN SEP 10 2017
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.1
NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115
KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 12(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 15(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 4( 4) 21(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) 20(20) 19(39) 2(41) X(41) X(41)
ATLANTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 25(25) 5(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X 8( 8) 30(38) 2(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
KINGS BAY GA 34 X 29(29) 36(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
KINGS BAY GA 50 X 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X 22(22) 53(75) 2(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) 24(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 1 36(37) 30(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 X 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
JACKSONVILLE 34 2 37(39) 35(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X 3( 3) 13(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 6 65(71) 24(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 X 18(18) 49(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
GAINESVILLE FL 64 X 2( 2) 21(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 8 61(69) 8(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 X 11(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
DAYTONA BEACH 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
THE VILLAGES 34 12 76(88) 8(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
THE VILLAGES 50 X 50(50) 23(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
THE VILLAGES 64 X 11(11) 14(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
ORLANDO FL 34 28 59(87) 2(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
ORLANDO FL 50 1 40(41) 5(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
ORLANDO FL 64 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 31 46(77) 2(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 1 12(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
PATRICK AFB 34 31 47(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
PATRICK AFB 50 1 12(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
PATRICK AFB 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
FT PIERCE FL 34 61 20(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
FT PIERCE FL 50 4 8(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
FT PIERCE FL 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
W PALM BEACH 34 78 5(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
W PALM BEACH 50 7 6(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT LAUDERDALE 50 18 5(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
FT LAUDERDALE 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MIAMI FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MIAMI FL 50 45 2(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
MIAMI FL 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HOMESTEAD ARB 50 69 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
HOMESTEAD ARB 64 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MARATHON FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MARATHON FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MARATHON FL 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
KEY WEST FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
KEY WEST FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
KEY WEST FL 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NAPLES FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NAPLES FL 50 95 5(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NAPLES FL 64 61 34(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
FT MYERS FL 34 97 3(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT MYERS FL 50 72 27(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT MYERS FL 64 14 78(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
VENICE FL 34 85 15(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
VENICE FL 50 19 79(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
VENICE FL 64 3 89(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
TAMPA FL 34 49 50(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TAMPA FL 50 4 89(93) 3(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
TAMPA FL 64 X 76(76) 7(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 8 79(87) 12(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X 45(45) 49(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 X 14(14) 62(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 26(26) 70(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X 2( 2) 74(76) 3(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) 40(40) 6(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
ST MARKS FL 34 1 35(36) 62(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
ST MARKS FL 50 X 3( 3) 78(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) 48(48) 3(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
APALACHICOLA 34 2 29(31) 49(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
APALACHICOLA 50 X 3( 3) 36(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) 13(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 4 42(46) 29(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 X 5( 5) 21(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 16(16) 48(64) 2(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 X 1( 1) 17(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X 3( 3) 45(48) 29(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78)
COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 22(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
COLUMBUS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 18(27) 7(34) X(34) X(34)
BIRMINGHAM AL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 1( 1) 25(26) 22(48) 2(50) X(50) X(50)
MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
MONTGOMERY AL 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
WHITING FLD FL 34 X 5( 5) 19(24) 4(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29)
WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X 5( 5) 14(19) 4(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 9( 9) 8(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BURAS LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 23 9(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 6 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ANDROS 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
HAVANA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HAVANA 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ISLE OF PINES 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CIENFUEGOS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CAMAGUEY 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
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Page last modified: Sunday, 31-Dec-2017 12:09:27 UTC