ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 44 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 0300 UTC SUN SEP 10 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) 11(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 34(38) 9(47) X(47) X(47) ATLANTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 15(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) SAVANNAH GA 34 X 1( 1) 16(17) 9(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) KINGS BAY GA 34 X 10(10) 32(42) 5(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 8( 8) 35(43) 17(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 13(13) 34(47) 3(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 13(13) 41(54) 4(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GAINESVILLE FL 34 3 28(31) 56(87) 2(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X 2( 2) 38(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DAYTONA BEACH 34 5 36(41) 27(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) THE VILLAGES 34 5 54(59) 34(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) THE VILLAGES 50 X 9( 9) 46(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) THE VILLAGES 64 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ORLANDO FL 34 7 64(71) 16(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) ORLANDO FL 50 X 13(13) 18(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) ORLANDO FL 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COCOA BEACH FL 34 8 56(64) 8(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PATRICK AFB 34 8 57(65) 8(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) PATRICK AFB 50 X 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) FT PIERCE FL 34 21 52(73) 2(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) FT PIERCE FL 50 1 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) W PALM BEACH 34 59 21(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) W PALM BEACH 50 4 8(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) W PALM BEACH 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FT LAUDERDALE 34 78 9(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) FT LAUDERDALE 50 7 12(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) FT LAUDERDALE 64 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MIAMI FL 34 87 5(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) MIAMI FL 50 24 15(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) MIAMI FL 64 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 51 9(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) HOMESTEAD ARB 64 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MARATHON FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MARATHON FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MARATHON FL 64 94 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) KEY WEST FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) KEY WEST FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) KEY WEST FL 64 96 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) NAPLES FL 34 92 8(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NAPLES FL 50 32 67(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NAPLES FL 64 6 85(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) FT MYERS FL 34 80 20(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT MYERS FL 50 8 89(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) FT MYERS FL 64 2 83(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) VENICE FL 34 51 48(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) VENICE FL 50 4 85(89) 4(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) VENICE FL 64 X 72(72) 11(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) TAMPA FL 34 10 80(90) 9(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TAMPA FL 50 X 45(45) 45(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) TAMPA FL 64 X 16(16) 52(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) CEDAR KEY FL 34 5 42(47) 47(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X 5( 5) 69(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) 46(46) 2(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 9( 9) 47(56) 21(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) 16(16) 31(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) ST MARKS FL 34 X 11(11) 53(64) 13(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) 26(26) 24(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) 10(10) 14(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) APALACHICOLA 34 X 11(11) 42(53) 6(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) 12(12) 8(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 290N 850W 34 1 15(16) 37(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X 1( 1) 10(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 7( 7) 26(33) 10(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 10(10) 52(62) 6(68) X(68) X(68) COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 19(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) COLUMBUS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 21(39) X(39) X(39) BIRMINGHAM AL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 28(34) 7(41) X(41) X(41) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MONTGOMERY AL 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 14 14(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 6 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ANDROS 34 6 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HAVANA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HAVANA 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HAVANA 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ISLE OF PINES 34 6 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CIENFUEGOS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CIENFUEGOS 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAMAGUEY 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND CAYMAN 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG NNNN
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Page last modified: Sunday, 31-Dec-2017 12:09:27 UTC