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TROPICAL STORM GERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082017
2100 UTC MON AUG 14 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  72.3W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  72.3W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  72.3W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 31.6N  72.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 33.3N  71.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 35.6N  69.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 38.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 44.5N  48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 120SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE 120SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 52.0N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N  72.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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