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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PAINE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172016
300 PM MDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...PAINE STRENGTHENING...
...COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY MONDAY...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 112.9W
ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paine was
located near latitude 18.5 North, longitude 112.9 West.  Paine is
moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) and a turn toward
the north-northwest and north is expected over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next 12 to 24 hours, and Paine could become a hurricane on Monday.
A weakening trend should begin on Monday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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