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HURRICANE PAINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172016
2100 UTC MON SEP 19 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA
EUGENIA TO CABO SAN QUINTIN.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA EUGENIA TO CABO SAN QUINTIN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 116.2W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 116.2W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 116.0W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 24.7N 116.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 26.9N 116.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 28.8N 116.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 30.1N 115.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 116.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART


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