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HURRICANE NEWTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152016
2100 UTC MON SEP 05 2016

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NEWTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

PUNTA EUGENIA  34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

P ABREOJOS     34  X   6( 6)  11(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34 55  44(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 10  77(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  1  58(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)

SAN JOSE CABO  34 56  43(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  7  78(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X  49(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)

LA PAZ         34 12  83(95)   2(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
LA PAZ         50  1  71(72)   3(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
LA PAZ         64  X  35(35)   2(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)

LORETO         34  4  27(31)  54(85)   1(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
LORETO         50  X   3( 3)  43(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
LORETO         64  X   X( X)  14(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

P PENASCO      34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

HERMOSILLO     34  X   3( 3)  13(16)  26(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
HERMOSILLO     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
HERMOSILLO     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

BAHIA KINO     34  X   4( 4)  19(23)  24(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
BAHIA KINO     50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
BAHIA KINO     64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GUAYMAS        34  X   8( 8)  41(49)   9(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
GUAYMAS        50  X   X( X)  10(10)   6(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
GUAYMAS        64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HUATABAMPO     34  2  14(16)  22(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
HUATABAMPO     50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LOS MOCHIS     34  6  28(34)   5(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)

CULIACAN       34  8  10(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

ISLAS MARIAS   34 61   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)

MAZATLAN       34 14   4(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

SAN BLAS       34  7   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

P VALLARTA     34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MANZANILLO     34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 110W       34 45   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  7   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

25N 115W       34  X   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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