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TROPICAL STORM NEWTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152016
0900 UTC MON SEP 05 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
NORTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO
SANTA ROSALIA AND ON THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.  THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ALSO EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH NORTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO
TO GUAYMAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA PAZ TO SANTA FE...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO
* NORTH OF SANTA FE TO CABO SAN LAZARO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA
* NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS
* MAZATLAN TO GUAYMAS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR
DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 106.1W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 106.1W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 105.8W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.2N 107.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.3N 109.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.3N 110.3W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE 170SE  70SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 25.9N 111.2W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.2N 111.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 106.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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