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TROPICAL STORM JAVIER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112016
1200 AM MDT MON AUG 08 2016

...JAVIER EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 1200 AM MDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.0N 108.0W
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cabo San Lucas to Todo Santos

A Hurricane Watch and a Tropical Storm Warning are in effect for...
* Todo Santos to Cabo San Lazaro
* Cabo San Lucas to Los Barriles

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Los Barriles to San Evaristo

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* San Evaristo to Loreto

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 24
hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed
to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1200 AM MDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was
located near latitude 21.0 North, longitude 108.0 West. Javier is
moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion
with a decrease in forward speed is expected through Monday.  On the
forecast track, the center of Javier should approach the southern
portion of the Baja California peninsula Monday afternoon.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is expected during the next day or so, and
Javier is forecast to become a hurricane by late Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Javier is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 8 inches over western or coastal parts of the Mexican states of
Colima, Jalisco, Michoacan, Nayarit and the southern part of Baja
California Sur with possible isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches
through Tuesday morning.

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected over the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula within the warning area by Monday
evening.  Tropical storm conditions are expected over the remainder
of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula within the
warning area by late Monday afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area over the southern portion of the Baja
California peninsula on Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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