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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112016
300 PM MDT MON AUG 08 2016

...LATEST HURRICANE HUNTER OBSERVATIONS SHOW JAVIER A LITTLE
STRONGER...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.5N 109.6W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Cabo San Lazaro to Los Barriles

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* San Evaristo to Cabo San Lazaro

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* San Evaristo to Loreto
* Cabo San Lazaro to Puerto San Andresito

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was
located near latitude 22.5 North, longitude 109.6 West.  Javier is
moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this motion
with a slight decrease in forward speed is expected through
Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Javier will pass near
or over the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula later
today and tonight, and move near the west coast of Baja California
Sur on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Some slight additional strengthening is possible
while the center passes near the southern Baja California peninsula
this evening and tonight.  A weakening trend is forecast to begin by
Tuesday afternoon.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft reported a minimum central
pressure of 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Javier is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 6 inches over coastal parts of the Mexican states of Sinaloa
and southern Sonora into Baja California Sur with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches through Wednesday morning.

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch
area as early as this evening.  Tropical storm conditions are
expected within the tropical storm warning area over the southern
portion of the Baja California peninsula later today and tonight.
Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm
watch area over the southern portion of the Baja California
peninsula on Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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