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TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112016
2100 UTC MON AUG 08 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LAZARO TO LOS BARRILES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN EVARISTO TO CABO SAN LAZARO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN EVARISTO TO LORETO
* CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 109.6W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 109.6W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 109.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.3N 110.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.3N 111.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.2N 112.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 26.2N 113.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.5N 114.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 109.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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