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TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112016
0900 UTC MON AUG 08 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA EASTWARD
TO LOS BARRILES.  THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ALSO ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LOS BARRILES TO TODO SANTOS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
* TODO SANTOS TO CABO SAN LAZARO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LOS BARRILES TO SAN EVARISTO
* TODO SANTOS TO CABO SAN LAZARO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN EVARISTO TO LORETO
* CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 108.3W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 108.3W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 108.0W

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.2N 109.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.1N 110.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.2N 111.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.4N 112.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 27.2N 113.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 108.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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