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TROPICAL STORM IVETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102016
0900 UTC WED AUG 03 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 119.2W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 119.2W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 118.5W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.6N 121.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.0N 124.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 15.2N 127.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.4N 130.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.0N 134.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 17.0N 138.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 18.0N 142.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 119.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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