ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062016 900 AM MDT MON JUL 18 2016 ...HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS REPORTED ON CLARION ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.7N 114.9W ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Estelle was located near latitude 17.7 North, longitude 114.9 West. Estelle is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is likely during the next day or so, and Estelle is forecast to become a hurricane later today or tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km) from the center. An automated weather observing site on Clarion Island recently reported sustained winds of 59 mph (95 km/h) and a gust to 82 mph (133 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches). A pressure of 995.3 was recently reported on Clarion Island. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Brown NNNN
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