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Tropical Depression ONE-E (Text)


ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012016
400 AM CDT WED JUN 08 2016

Mexican surface and radar data, along with recent ASCAT overpasses,
indicate that the center of the depression is now near the coast of
Mexico in the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  The scatterometer data suggests
that the maximum winds are at most 25 kt.  The depression is
expected to move inland later today and dissipate over southeastern
Mexico in less than 24 hours.

The initial motion is a northward drift or 360/2.  A northward to
north-northeastward drift should continue until dissipation.

While the associated convection has been minimal for the past few
hours, there is a continued heavy rainfall threat from this system.
This rainfall will be enhanced by the moist southwest flow over the
high terrain of southern Mexico and western Guatemala where flash
floods and mud slides are anticipated.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  08/0900Z 16.1N  94.8W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  08/1800Z 16.4N  94.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 24H  09/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

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