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HURRICANE OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162016
0900 UTC THU NOV 24 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR SAN ANDRES ISLAND.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LIMON COSTA RICA TO BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA
* SOUTH OF LIMON TO THE COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA
* PUNTARENAS COSTA RICA TO PUERTO SANDINO NICARAGUA
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF OTTO.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  82.9W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  82.9W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  82.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 11.1N  83.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 10.6N  86.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 10.2N  88.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z  9.8N  90.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z  9.5N  96.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 10.0N 101.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 11.5N 104.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N  82.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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