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HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
2100 UTC FRI OCT 14 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N  55.7W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 120SE  90SW  80NW.
34 KT.......210NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 360SE 420SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N  55.7W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.2N  56.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 37.5N  52.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 110NW.
34 KT...240NE 220SE 200SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 38.3N  50.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
50 KT...140NE 130SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...250NE 300SE 250SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 38.5N  48.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 270SW 310NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 38.7N  47.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...160NE 180SE 210SW 210NW.
34 KT...360NE 300SE 300SW 390NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 40.5N  45.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...390NE 300SE 360SW 330NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 47.0N  40.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 53.0N  36.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.5N  55.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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