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HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
1500 UTC WED OCT 12 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  66.9W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  35SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 210SE 330SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  66.9W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.0N  66.9W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 29.5N  66.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.5N  65.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 33.7N  63.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 35.8N  59.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 39.1N  53.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 180SW 160NW.
34 KT...330NE 330SE 300SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 39.2N  50.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 39.2N  50.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N  66.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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