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HURRICANE NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
0900 UTC WED OCT 12 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT 
OR
DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  67.0W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 210SE 300SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  67.0W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  66.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 28.9N  67.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 30.6N  66.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 32.6N  64.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 35.0N  61.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 130SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 39.0N  55.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 210SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 40.0N  51.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 40.0N  50.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N  67.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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