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Hurricane MATTHEW (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  42               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016               
1500 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
33.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
PAX RIVER NAS  34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  1   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CHARLOTTESVIL  34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
DANVILLE VA    34  3   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  3   5( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  4   5( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
OCEANA NAS VA  34  4   6(10)   1(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
ELIZABETH CTY  34  6  11(17)   1(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  3   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  6   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
ROCKY MT NC    34  9   5(14)   X(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34 16  48(64)   3(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X  11(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
CAPE HATTERAS  64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
FAYETTEVILLE   34 21   3(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34 62  18(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
CHERRY PT NC   50  2  10(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
CHERRY PT NC   64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34 59  29(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
NEW RIVER NC   50  2  25(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
NEW RIVER NC   64  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34 69  20(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  3  23(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
MOREHEAD CITY  64  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SURF CITY NC   34 90   4(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
SURF CITY NC   50 16  13(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
SURF CITY NC   64  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34 93   2(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
WILMINGTON NC  50 22   8(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
WILMINGTON NC  64  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BALD HEAD ISL  50 61   6(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
BALD HEAD ISL  64  6   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
FLORENCE SC    34 60   1(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
LITTLE RIVER   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
LITTLE RIVER   50 42   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
LITTLE RIVER   64  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MYRTLE BEACH   50 46   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
MYRTLE BEACH   64  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GEORGETOWN SC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GEORGETOWN SC  50 78   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
GEORGETOWN SC  64  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CHARLESTON SC  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CHARLESTON SC  64  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
BEAUFORT MCAS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
KINGS BAY GA   34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
WAYCROSS GA    34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MAYPORT NS FL  34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Saturday, 31-Dec-2016 12:09:48 UTC