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Hurricane MATTHEW (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016               
0300 UTC SAT OCT 01 2016                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
140 KTS...160 MPH...260 KM/H.                                       
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
FLORENCE SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
BEAUFORT MCAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
KINGS BAY GA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
WAYCROSS GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
MAYPORT NS FL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
GAINESVILLE FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)
 
THE VILLAGES   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)
COCOA BEACH FL 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
PATRICK AFB    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)
PATRICK AFB    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  11(16)
FT PIERCE FL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
FT PIERCE FL   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  13(20)
W PALM BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
W PALM BEACH   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
FT LAUDERDALE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  12(20)
FT LAUDERDALE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
FT LAUDERDALE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  10(19)
MIAMI FL       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
MIAMI FL       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   5(14)
MARATHON FL    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
MARATHON FL    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)
KEY WEST FL    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
NAPLES FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)
 
VENICE FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
 
TAMPA FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
PT GALLINAS    34 19   3(22)   3(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)  16(28)
GRAND BAHAMA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)
GRAND BAHAMA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  27(30)  16(46)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   8(20)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)
 
ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  31(36)  13(49)
ANDROS         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   6(22)
ANDROS         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)
 
GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  38(48)  12(60)
GREAT EXUMA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  22(24)   6(30)
GREAT EXUMA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   3(15)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  31(37)  12(49)
SAN SALVADOR   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)   6(20)
SAN SALVADOR   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  20(29)   4(33)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   2(11)
MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 
GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   2(14)
 
HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)
ISLE OF PINES  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
CIENFUEGOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  11(17)   3(20)
CIENFUEGOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
CIENFUEGOS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  23(25)  25(50)   3(53)
CAMAGUEY       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  17(24)   2(26)
CAMAGUEY       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   1(12)
 
GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  43(52)  14(66)   2(68)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  19(20)  12(32)   1(33)
GUANTANAMO BAY 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   8(18)   X(18)
 
GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)   1(11)
GRAND CAYMAN   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
MONTEGO BAY    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  17(20)  39(59)   7(66)   1(67)
MONTEGO BAY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  25(29)   6(35)   1(36)
MONTEGO BAY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)   4(21)   X(21)
 
KINGSTON       34  X   1( 1)   8( 9)  36(45)  35(80)   5(85)   X(85)
KINGSTON       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)  37(52)   5(57)   X(57)
KINGSTON       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  25(31)   4(35)   X(35)
 
LES CAYES      34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)  14(22)  23(45)   5(50)   1(51)
LES CAYES      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)   3(17)   X(17)
LES CAYES      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)  13(20)   4(24)   1(25)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
CAPE BEATA     34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   5(13)   3(16)   X(16)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Saturday, 31-Dec-2016 12:09:47 UTC