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HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
0300 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR FLORIDA BAY
AND THE FLORIDA KEYS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...
BERRY
ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW
PROVIDENCE
* BOCA RATON TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OCEAN REEF TO SOUTH OF BOCA RATON
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER
* NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO SURF CITY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENGLEWOOD TO ANCLOTE RIVER

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND IN THE CAROLINAS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  79.2W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  939 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  79.2W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  78.9W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 28.5N  80.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 30.3N  80.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.8N  80.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE  90SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 32.6N  78.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 31.5N  75.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 29.0N  75.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 27.0N  77.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N  79.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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