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TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
1500 UTC WED SEP 28 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FRENCH ISLANDS OF
GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE.

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
BARBADOS, DOMINICA, AND ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINE ISLANDS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
ST. LUCIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE
* ST. LUCIA
* DOMINICA, BARBADOS, ST. VINCENT, AND THE GRENADINE ISLANDS

INTERESTS IN BONAIRE...CURACAO...ARUBA...AND ELSEWHERE IN THE
LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  60.7W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......180NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  60.7W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  59.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 13.6N  63.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...160NE  80SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 13.9N  66.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.9N  69.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.8N  71.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.5N  74.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 14.8N  75.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 17.5N  76.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  60.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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