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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  40A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
800 AM AST SAT SEP 24 2016

...CENTER OF KARL STARTING TO MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.2N 63.7W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM E OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was
located near latitude 32.2 North, longitude 63.7 West.  Karl is
moving toward the northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h).  This general
motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days with a
steady increase in forward speed.  On the forecast track, Karl will
continue to move away from Bermuda today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours and
Karl is expected to become a hurricane by tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the minimum
central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will continue over Bermuda through
this morning.

RAINFALL:  Karl is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3
to 5 inches over Bermuda through today.

TORNADOES:  Isolated tornadoes are possible on Bermuda this morning.

SURF:  Swells generated by Karl are affecting Bermuda and are
expected to increase during the next couple of days.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

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