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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
500 PM AST FRI SEP 23 2016

...KARL MAINTAINING 60-MPH WINDS...
...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WIND GUSTS OCCURRING ON BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.9N 65.1W
ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case during the next 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case
during the next 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was
located near latitude 29.9 North, longitude 65.1 West. Karl is
moving toward the north near 13 mph (20 km/h) but is expected to
turn sharply toward the northeast during the next 24 hours.  On the
forecast track, the center of Karl is forecast to move near or east
of Bermuda during the next day or so.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Karl is
forecast to reach hurricane intensity on Saturday and then should
become post-tropical on Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

Dropsonde data indicate that the minimum central pressure is 988 mb
(29.18 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are beginning to spread across
Bermuda and will continue through early Saturday morning. Hurricane
conditions are also possible on Bermuda tonight.

RAINFALL:  Karl is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 3 to 5 inches over Bermuda through Saturday.

TORNADOES:  Isolated tornadoes are possible on Bermuda overnight.

SURF:  Swells generated by Karl are affecting Bermuda and are
expected to increase during the next couple of days.  These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Sullivan/Berg

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