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Tropical Storm HERMINE (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21          
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016               
1500 UTC FRI SEP 02 2016                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   4(10)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   4(11)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)   4(15)
PORTLAND ME    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   7(16)   4(20)
 
PORTSMOUTH NH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   7(17)   5(22)
PORTSMOUTH NH  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
WORCESTER MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  14(18)   9(27)   3(30)
WORCESTER MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
SPRINGFIELD MA 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  16(21)   8(29)   2(31)
SPRINGFIELD MA 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)  10(26)   4(30)
BOSTON MA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
BOSTON MA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  17(23)   9(32)   4(36)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   2(10)
HYANNIS MA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  18(27)   9(36)   4(40)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   3(12)
NANTUCKET MA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  19(26)   9(35)   3(38)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)
PROVIDENCE RI  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)
 
BRIDGEPORT CT  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)  22(33)   8(41)   2(43)
BRIDGEPORT CT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)
BRIDGEPORT CT  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
NEW HAVEN CT   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)  21(31)   9(40)   2(42)
NEW HAVEN CT   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)
NEW HAVEN CT   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  18(25)   9(34)   2(36)
HARTFORD CT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
 
NEW LONDON CT  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)  21(30)   9(39)   3(42)
NEW LONDON CT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   2(10)
NEW LONDON CT  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)
 
ALBANY NY      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   5(17)   2(19)
 
POUGHKEEPSIE   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  16(22)   7(29)   2(31)
POUGHKEEPSIE   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)  23(34)  10(44)   2(46)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   5(11)   2(13)
MONTAUK POINT  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
ISLIP NY       34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)  23(37)   8(45)   2(47)
ISLIP NY       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   5(12)   1(13)
ISLIP NY       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   8(13)  24(37)   7(44)   2(46)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)   1(11)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
NYC CNTRL PARK 34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)  22(34)   7(41)   2(43)
NYC CNTRL PARK 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)
NYC CNTRL PARK 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)  22(34)   7(41)   2(43)
NEWARK NJ      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)
NEWARK NJ      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   8(14)  19(33)   7(40)   1(41)
TRENTON NJ     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)
TRENTON NJ     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
NWS EARLE NJ   34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   9(16)  23(39)   7(46)   2(48)
NWS EARLE NJ   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)   1(12)
NWS EARLE NJ   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
ALLENTOWN PA   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)  17(26)   6(32)   1(33)
ALLENTOWN PA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
PHILADELPHIA   34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   8(15)  19(34)   7(41)   1(42)
PHILADELPHIA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)
PHILADELPHIA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   1( 1)  10(11)  11(22)  21(43)   7(50)   1(51)
ATLANTIC CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   4(15)   1(16)
ATLANTIC CITY  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   6(12)  13(25)   5(30)   1(31)
BALTIMORE MD   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   1( 1)  10(11)   8(19)  18(37)   7(44)   2(46)
DOVER DE       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)
DOVER DE       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   6(14)  13(27)   5(32)   2(34)
ANNAPOLIS MD   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   5(11)  10(21)   5(26)   2(28)
 
CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   2( 2)  15(17)   9(26)  17(43)   8(51)   1(52)
CAPE HENLOPEN  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)   3(14)   1(15)
CAPE HENLOPEN  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   3( 3)  22(25)   9(34)  14(48)   6(54)   1(55)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   6(12)   3(15)   1(16)
OCEAN CITY MD  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
PAX RIVER NAS  34  X   2( 2)  11(13)   6(19)  11(30)   7(37)   1(38)
PAX RIVER NAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  X   5( 5)  22(27)   7(34)  12(46)   6(52)   1(53)
WALLOPS CDA    50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   5(11)   2(13)   1(14)
WALLOPS CDA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
CHARLOTTESVIL  34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   5(12)   3(15)   1(16)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  1   4( 5)   8(13)   4(17)   7(24)   4(28)   1(29)
 
DANVILLE VA    34  1   1( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   1(11)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  1  16(17)  17(34)   3(37)   7(44)   4(48)   1(49)
NORFOLK NAS    50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
NORFOLK NAS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  1  19(20)  17(37)   3(40)   7(47)   4(51)   1(52)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   2( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
NORFOLK VA     64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
OCEANA NAS VA  34  1  22(23)  20(43)   3(46)   6(52)   4(56)   1(57)
OCEANA NAS VA  50  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)   2(11)   1(12)   1(13)
OCEANA NAS VA  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ELIZABETH CTY  34  1  40(41)  14(55)   2(57)   4(61)   2(63)   1(64)
ELIZABETH CTY  50  X   5( 5)   7(12)   1(13)   1(14)   1(15)   X(15)
ELIZABETH CTY  64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  3   6( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   2(15)   1(16)   1(17)
 
ROCKY MT NC    34  2  23(25)   4(29)   1(30)   3(33)   2(35)   1(36)
ROCKY MT NC    50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  1  61(62)  12(74)   1(75)   3(78)   X(78)   1(79)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   9( 9)   9(18)   1(19)   1(20)   1(21)   X(21)
CAPE HATTERAS  64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
FAYETTEVILLE   34 14  22(36)   1(37)   X(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)
FAYETTEVILLE   50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34  5  69(74)   1(75)   X(75)   1(76)   1(77)   X(77)
CHERRY PT NC   50  X  13(13)   1(14)   X(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
CHERRY PT NC   64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34  5  68(73)   2(75)   X(75)   2(77)   1(78)   X(78)
NEW RIVER NC   50  X  12(12)   1(13)   X(13)   1(14)   X(14)   1(15)
NEW RIVER NC   64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  6  69(75)   1(76)   1(77)   1(78)   1(79)   X(79)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X  13(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   1(15)   X(15)
MOREHEAD CITY  64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
SURF CITY NC   34 17  64(81)   X(81)   X(81)   1(82)   X(82)   X(82)
SURF CITY NC   50  X  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   1(13)   X(13)
SURF CITY NC   64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34 28  53(81)   1(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   1(13)
WILMINGTON NC  64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34 43  41(84)   X(84)   X(84)   1(85)   X(85)   X(85)
BALD HEAD ISL  50  1  10(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   1(12)
BALD HEAD ISL  64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
FLORENCE SC    34 45   2(47)   X(47)   X(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)
FLORENCE SC    50  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34 12   X(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   1(14)
 
LITTLE RIVER   34 64  21(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
LITTLE RIVER   50  3   9(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
LITTLE RIVER   64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34 76  11(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  5   6(11)   X(11)   X(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
MYRTLE BEACH   64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
GEORGETOWN SC  34 88   2(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
GEORGETOWN SC  50  9   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
GEORGETOWN SC  64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34 94   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
CHARLESTON SC  50  9   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
BEAUFORT MCAS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BEAUFORT MCAS  50  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SAVANNAH GA    50  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
KINGS BAY GA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
WAYCROSS GA    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
MAYPORT NS FL  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BRENNAN                                                  
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Saturday, 31-Dec-2016 12:09:29 UTC