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TROPICAL STORM HERMINE SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
1700 UTC THU SEP 01 2016
AT 1700Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9)
PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10)
WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 4(12)
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 3(11)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 4(13)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 5(17)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) 5(20)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 4(16)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 3(15)
BRIDGEPORT CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 4(16)
NEW HAVEN CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 3(13)
NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 4(17)
NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7)
POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 2(10)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) 4(19)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 7(15) 3(18)
ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) 3(17)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 3(16)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 2(15)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 2(15)
NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 7(16) 2(18)
NWS EARLE NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 2(10)
PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13) 2(15)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 7(19) 2(21)
ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 1(10)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 5(15) 2(17)
DOVER DE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) 2(12)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 2(10)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 5(20) 3(23)
CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 13(19) 5(24) 2(26)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 2(14) 1(15)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 13(21) 4(25) 2(27)
WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) 2(15) 1(16)
DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 9(28) 1(29) 1(30)
NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
NORFOLK NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 10(31) 2(33) X(33)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 11(33) 2(35) 1(36)
OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 30(32) 8(40) 2(42) X(42)
ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) 1(14) X(14)
ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 1(19) 1(20) X(20)
RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 22(26) 2(28) 1(29) X(29)
ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 42(45) 8(53) 1(54) 1(55)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 20(20) 5(25) X(25) X(25)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) 14(14) 19(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34)
FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
FAYETTEVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 47(54) 2(56) 1(57) X(57)
CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24)
CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 45(52) 3(55) X(55) X(55)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28)
NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 47(55) 2(57) X(57) X(57)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 16(16) 42(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59)
SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26)
SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 20(20) 38(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 21(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 1( 1) 25(26) 35(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 21(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
FLORENCE SC 34 X 3( 3) 28(31) 11(42) X(42) X(42) 1(43)
FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 5( 5) 20(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27) 1(28)
COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X 2( 2) 31(33) 28(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) 10(10) 14(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 3( 3) 37(40) 22(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 13(13) 12(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 4( 4) 48(52) 12(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) 20(20) 8(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X 9( 9) 55(64) 5(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) 28(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 2 16(18) 52(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X 2( 2) 29(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
ATLANTA GA 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
AUGUSTA GA 34 1 10(11) 17(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAVANNAH GA 34 4 27(31) 43(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X 5( 5) 29(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KINGS BAY GA 34 14 43(57) 13(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
KINGS BAY GA 50 X 19(19) 11(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
KINGS BAY GA 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WAYCROSS GA 34 18 54(72) 9(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
WAYCROSS GA 50 X 36(36) 6(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
WAYCROSS GA 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 16 37(53) 10(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 X 15(15) 8(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
MAYPORT NS FL 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
JACKSONVILLE 34 21 41(62) 8(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X 23(23) 6(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
JACKSONVILLE 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 56 20(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 5 30(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
GAINESVILLE FL 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 22 16(38) 2(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
THE VILLAGES 34 51 11(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
THE VILLAGES 50 4 6(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
ORLANDO FL 34 29 7(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 13 7(20) 1(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
PATRICK AFB 34 14 7(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
FT PIERCE FL 34 9 4(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
W PALM BEACH 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MIAMI FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KEY WEST FL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NAPLES FL 34 14 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
FT MYERS FL 34 23 3(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
VENICE FL 34 48 1(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
TAMPA FL 34 62 2(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
TAMPA FL 50 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 79 8(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 40 22(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 64 19(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 18 38(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ST MARKS FL 34 78 15(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
ST MARKS FL 50 42 30(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
ST MARKS FL 64 2 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
APALACHICOLA 34 86 3(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
APALACHICOLA 50 67 4(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
APALACHICOLA 64 7 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 93 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
GFMX 290N 850W 64 15 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 49 3(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 17 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
PANAMA CITY FL 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
COLUMBUS GA 34 4 4( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WHITING FLD FL 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
PENSACOLA FL 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 15 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
MOBILE AL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GULFPORT MS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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Page last modified: Saturday, 31-Dec-2016 12:09:29 UTC