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Tropical Depression NINE (Text)


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
400 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN SOON...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 86.6W
ABOUT 305 MI...495 KM W OF KEY WEST FLORIDA
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM W OF HAVANA CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in central and northern Florida, and southeastern Georgia
should monitor the progress of this system.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine was
located near latitude 23.8 North, longitude 86.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h).  A slow
west-northwestward motion is expected today.  A turn toward the
north-northwest is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the
north-northeast on Wednesday.  On the forecast track, the center of
the depression will continue to move slowly away from western Cuba,
and move into the eastern Gulf of Mexico over the next 48 hours.

Reports from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the
maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches)
based on dropsonde data from the NASA Global Hawk aircraft.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce additional rain
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over western Cuba through Wednesday,
with maximum storm total amounts up to 12 inches.  These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.  Storm
total rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches are possible over much of
the Florida peninsula through Friday morning, with isolated maximum
amounts of 15 inches possible.  This rainfall may cause flooding
and flash flooding.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

NNNN

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Page last modified: Saturday, 31-Dec-2016 12:09:26 UTC