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TROPICAL STORM FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062016
2100 UTC WED AUG 17 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  37.8W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  37.8W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  37.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 16.0N  39.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.0N  40.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.8N  42.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.7N  43.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.3N  47.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 22.6N  51.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 24.6N  55.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N  37.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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