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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062016
1500 UTC WED AUG 17 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  36.4W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  36.4W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  35.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.9N  37.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 16.0N  39.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.0N  40.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.9N  42.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.6N  45.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 21.8N  49.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 23.9N  53.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N  36.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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