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HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052016
0900 UTC THU AUG 04 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO COSTA MAYA...MEXICO...SOUTHWARD TO THE BELIZE/GUATEMALA
BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF PUERTO COSTA MAYA TO PUNTA ALLEN...MEXICO.

INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  88.9W AT 04/0900Z...INLAND
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  80SE  30SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  88.9W AT 04/0900Z...INLAND
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  88.3W...ON COAST

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.8N  90.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.3N  92.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.6N  94.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.0N  96.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.5N  99.5W...INLAND/REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N  88.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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