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BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012016
1100 PM AST WED JAN 13 2016

...ALEX STRENGTHENS A LITTLE...
...FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE AZORES...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.7N 30.0W
ABOUT 665 MI...1070 KM SSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of Alex.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Alex was
located near latitude 28.7 North, longitude 30.0 West. The storm is
moving toward the northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A turn toward
the north and an increase in forward speed are expected on Thursday.
On the forecast track, the center of Alex is expected to move near
or over the Azores late Thursday night or Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Little change in strength is forecast tonight and
Thursday.  Alex is expected to become an extratropical low with
storm-force winds as it approaches the Azores Thursday night and
Friday.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the
center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Gale force winds are expected to begin over portions of
Azores by late Thursday or early Friday.  Storm force winds are
possible over portions of the Azores on Friday.

RAINFALL:  Alex is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches over the Azores through Friday, with possible
isolated maximum amounts of 7 inches.  These rains may produce
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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