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HURRICANE SANDRA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222015
2100 UTC FRI NOV 27 2015
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALTATA TO SAN BLAS
* LAS ISLAS MARIAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 108.4W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  25SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 108.4W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 108.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 22.1N 107.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 23.8N 107.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 25.5N 106.6W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 108.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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