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HURRICANE SANDRA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222015
2100 UTC THU NOV 26 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM TODOS SANTOS
TO LOS BARRILES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM TODOS SANTOS TO LOS BARRILES

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ALONG NORTHERN COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF SINALOA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDRA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 110.1W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......140NE 130SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 110.1W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 110.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.1N 110.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 19.8N 110.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.8N 109.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 24.2N 108.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 27.0N 107.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 110.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


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