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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM RICK ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212015
100 PM PST SAT NOV 21 2015

...RICK JOGS WESTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TONIGHT AND WEAKEN...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM PST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 115.9W
ABOUT 575 MI...925 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 100 PM PST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rick was
located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 115.9 West. Rick is
moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast tonight, followed by a turn toward the
northwest and a decrease in forward speed on Sunday. Rick is
expected to turn toward the north-northwest at an even slower
forward speed on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Rick is forecast
to become a tropical depression on Sunday and a post-tropical
remnant low Sunday night.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 700 PM PST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

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