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TROPICAL STORM RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212015
1500 UTC FRI NOV 20 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 110.3W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  45SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 110.3W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 109.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.7N 111.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.3N 113.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.8N 114.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.6N 115.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.5N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 21.5N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 22.5N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 110.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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