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TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192015
0900 UTC SAT OCT 17 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.5N 128.5W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.5N 128.5W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.5N 128.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z  9.5N 129.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z  9.7N 131.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 10.1N 133.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 10.7N 134.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 12.2N 137.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 14.2N 140.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 16.3N 141.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.5N 128.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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