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Tropical Storm MARTY (Text)


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TROPICAL STORM MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172015
400 PM CDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...MARTY ENCOUNTERING UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.1N 102.9W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Acapulco, Mexico to Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning may be required for portions of the watch
area tonight.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Marty was
located near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 102.9 West. Marty has
been moving toward the north near 3 mph (6 km/h) for the past few
hours.  A slow motion toward the northeast is expected tonight
through Monday night.  On the forecast track, the center of Marty
is forecast to approach but remain offshore the southwestern coast
of Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Marty is now in a region of upper-level winds that are not favorable
for strengthening, and little change in strength is expected through
Monday night. The tropical storm is expected to weaken on Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
by Monday night.

RAINFALL:  Marty is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 6 to 12
inches over the southern Mexican state of Guerrero through Thursday,
with isolated amounts near 20 inches from the Sierra Madre del Sur
mountains toward the coast.  These rains are expected to produce
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in areas of
mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

NNNN

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Page last modified: Thursday, 31-Dec-2015 12:09:52 UTC