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TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172015
0300 UTC SUN SEP 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH COULD BE
REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA BY EARLY SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 103.0W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 103.0W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 103.1W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 14.2N 102.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 14.9N 102.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 15.4N 102.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.8N 102.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.0N 102.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 16.2N 102.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 16.5N 103.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 103.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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