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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102015
0900 UTC THU AUG 06 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 130.8W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 130.8W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 130.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 12.6N 132.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 12.6N 134.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 12.9N 136.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 13.5N 138.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.7N 142.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 16.5N 145.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 18.3N 147.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 130.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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