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Tropical Storm BLANCA (Text)


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TROPICAL STORM BLANCA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  30A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
1200 AM MDT MON JUN 08 2015

...BLANCA WEAKENING AS IT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 1200 AM MDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.9N 111.3W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM W OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Loreto to Punta Abreojos, including Cabo San Lucas

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of Loreto to Mulege

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1200 AM MDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Blanca was
located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 111.3 West.  Blanca is
moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue during the next day or two.
On the forecast track, the center of Blanca will approach the
southwestern coast of the Baja California peninsula overnight, and
move near or over the peninsula Monday through Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h),
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast, and Blanca is
expected to become to a tropical depression by Monday afternoon or
evening.  Blanca will likely dissipate near or over northern
portions of the Baja California peninsula by late Tuesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.26 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are occurring over southern
portions of the Baja California peninsula and should spread
northward within the warning area tonight and Monday.  Tropical
storm conditions are possible within the watch area on Monday.

RAINFALL:  Blanca is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches over much of Baja California Sur and the southern half
of the state of Baja California, with isolated maximum amounts of 10
inches over Baja California Sur.  These rains could produce life-
threatening flash floods and mud slides.  Rainfall associated with
Blanca and its remnants could begin to affect portions of the
southwestern United States on Tuesday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Blanca are affecting the coast of
southwestern Mexico, the Pacific coast of the Baja California
peninsula, and the southern Gulf of California.  These swells will
likely cause life-threatening surf and rip currents.  For additional
information, please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

NNNN

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Page last modified: Thursday, 31-Dec-2015 12:09:31 UTC