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Hurricane BLANCA (Text)


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HURRICANE BLANCA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
600 AM MDT SAT JUN 06 2015

...BLANCA HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH 120-MPH WINDS...


SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 109.2W
ABOUT 340 MI...545 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM S OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Cabo San Lucas to Santa Fe

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* La Paz to Santa Fe, including Cabo San Lucas

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of La Paz to San Evaristo
* North of Santa Fe to Cabo San Lazaro

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within 36 to 48 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Blanca was located
near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 109.2 West. Blanca is moving
toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue today.  A turn toward the north-northwest is
forecast by tonight.  On the forecast track, the center of Blanca is
expected to approach the coast in the warning area late Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 120 mph (195 km/h)with higher
gusts.  Blanca is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is forecast today
but weakening is forecast tonight and Sunday. Blanca is forecast to
be near hurricane strength as it approaches the southern Baja
California peninsula.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 952 mb (28.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area on Sunday, making outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.  Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane
watch area Sunday and Sunday night.

RAINFALL:  Blanca is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches over much of Baja California Sur and the southern
portion of Baja California, with possible isolated maximum amounts
of 7 inches over Baja California Sur.

SURF:  Swells generated by Blanca are affecting the coast of
southwestern Mexico, the Pacific coast of the Baja California
peninsula, and the southern Gulf of California.  These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
For additional information, please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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Page last modified: Thursday, 31-Dec-2015 12:09:31 UTC